Jordan “SmartWater” Davis is a professional daily fantasy sports player. He specializes in cash games such as H2Hs, 50/50s, double ups, and small-field leagues. He is the Community Manager at RotoGrinders.com and can be found on Twitter @ThatGuyNamedJoR
To be profitable playing cash games, consistency is key. With eight weeks of NFL action in the books, we have a solid set of data to look at as we try to find the safest plays this weekend. With the level of competition getting tougher across the DFS industry and so many large-field GPPs being offered, now is a great time to take advantage of cash games as a way to continue to build your bankroll.
Here are some of his favorite plays for this week’s NFL action, using DraftKings pricing.
Tom Brady (8.5k) – Honestly, I feel kind of dirty writing down Brady in this section (and no it is not because I am a Bills fan) but he just needs to at least be mentioned. EVERYONE knows Brady is a good play. (Even my mom!) With that being said, being a popular play does not make him the wrong play. He has not scored below 25 DK points yet this year. That kind of floor is almost impossible to find. He has a favorable matchup against the Washington secondary and I think he will take full advantage. If you are willing to pay up at QB, Brady should be your guy.
Tyrod Taylor (5.3k) – It is very easy to forget just how good TyGod was before getting hurt. I expect him to come out and look very quick. He should be 100% recovered from his injury and ready to get back to where he was when he got hurt. Although this Dolphins team is not the same as it was earlier in the season when these two teams met, I expect TyGod to be able to produce at a high level. Coming off an injury, you are getting him at an extreme discount.
Deangelo Williams (5.5k) – Earlier in the year, Williams did a fantastic job filling in for Bell when he was suspended and I expect him to continue this as the lead back once again. With Big Ben healthy, this offense should start performing like the high-powered offense it was, and Williams is a great way to get cheap exposure to it. I think his usage should be high (which I like for cash games) but I think he also has a high ceiling.
Mark Ingram (6.5k) – What a game last weekend by Brees! With that being said, I think this weekend will be more of an Ingram game. The Titans struggle to stop the run and with the recent injury to Robinson, Ingram could see an increase in usage. Ingram is averaging 18.2 DK points per game and I think he has a great chance of reaching that with upside for more.
Antonio Brown (8.1k) – I am a HUGE Brown fan. I mean, how can you not be? It seems a good amount of people have forgotten how good Brown is when Big Ben is healthy. Brown will almost always be my top target at WR in cash because of his high floor. What makes Brown so elite is that he also has one of the highest ceilings as well! I’ve mentioned floors and ceilings of players a few times, and I want to make it clear that while having a high floor is important, so is the ability to have monster games. Brown brings both of these to the table this week.
Alshon Jeffery (6.7k) – Jeffery is an elite WR when healthy and it finally is looking like he is close to 100%. He has dominated the past two games (19 receptions, 2 TDs). I expect the Chargers to be able to score some points this weekend, which means the Bears will be forced to pass to try to keep up. This is good news for Jeffery owners and I strongly believe you should be one of them this week.
Heath Miller (2.7k) – This is the old “pick on the Raiders” play, but one I think you should feel pretty confident in. The Raiders simply can not stop opposing TEs and Big Ben has shown to trust Miller a great deal. Heath Miller is far from a flashy play, but if last week was any indication (10 receptions, 105 yards) of how much usage Miller can have in this offense, I want in. I also can not ignore the $2.7k price tag on him. I feel like I’m stealing!
Defense and Special Teams
St. Louis Rams (3.5k) – I feel like I’ve been on the Rams the past two weeks already – oh wait, I HAVE! “If it’s not broken, don’t fix it” seems to fit well here. Although I do not like the Rams matchup as much as I have the past few weeks, I still think they are a great option in Week 9. Teddy Bridgewater is not someone that puts fear into me and I think the Rams can pressure him into making a few mistakes. Currently the Rams are second in the league in sacks and I expect them to be able to add to that total this week.
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