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Bracketology March 6

Don Petersen/AP Photo

We are less than a week away from Selection Sunday. Let that sink in for a moment. As the calendar has officially turned to March, all eyes have turned to the college basketball world. Fans are eagerly awaiting to get a copy of that finalized bracket so they can try their fool-proof matchup prediction method or so they can give a copy to their 9 year old son who will pick randomly and win their office pool. There are only a few sporting events that no matter if you are sports fan or not, everyone gets involved. The few that come to mind is the Super Bowl, any big international event like the Olympics or World Cup, and March Madness. For the final week here at DYSTNow, look for daily bracketology updates as there is bound to be a lot of movement during champ week with bubble teams on the move and mid-majors stealing bids. Some games to watch today is Syracuse-Wake Forest at 7:00 as Syracuse will most likely miss the tournament with a loss today and BYU-Gonzaga at 9:00 in the WCC championship game as a win for BYU is the only way they are getting into the field of 68 which means they would most likely knock another bubble team out of the field. Speaking of bubble teams, let’s take a look at a few.

Team A
Record: 20-10
Conference Record: 8-10
RPI: 59
BPI: 44
KenPom: 38
RPI Top 50 Wins: 5
RPI Sub 100 Losses: 1

Team B
Record: 17-14
Conference Record: 8-10
RPI: 58
BPI: 53
KenPom: 53
RPI Top 50 Wins: 6
RPI Sub 100 Losses: 3

​Both these teams are neck and neck when it comes to RPI but Team B has a few too many losses, specifically bad losses that are keeping it out of the field while Team A has similar numbers but its advanced metrics and bad losses are the differentiating factor putting it in the field. Team A is Arizona State and Team B is Alabama. Alabama looked to be in good shape but they have lost their last 5 and are in desperate need of some wins in the SEC Tournament while Arizona State has some very big non-conference wins over Kansas and Xavier that will most likely keep them in the field.

Automatic Bids (Conference Tournament Champions in Bold)
America East- Vermont
American- Cincinnati
A-10- Rhode Island
ACC- Virginia
Atlantic Sun- Lipscomb
Big 12- Kansas
Big East- Xavier
Big Sky- Montana
Big 10- Michigan
Big South- Radford
Big West- UC Santa Barbara
Colonial- Charleston
Conference USA- Middle Tennessee
Horizon- Wright State
IVY- Penn
MAAC- Iona
MAC- Buffalo
MEAC- Bethune-Cookman
Missouri Valley- Loyola Chicago
Mountain West- Nevada
Northeast- Wagner
Ohio Valley- Murray State
Pac-12- Arizona
Patriot- Bucknell
SEC-Auburn
Southern- UNC Greensboro
Southland- Nicholls
SWAC- Arkansas Pine-Bluff
Summit- South Dakota St.
Sun Belt- Louisiana
West Coast- Gonzaga
WAC- New Mexico St

At-Large Bids
American: Wichita State, Houston
A-10: St. Bonaventure
ACC: Clemson, Duke, UNC, Miami, Va Tech, NC State, Florida State, Syracuse
Big 12: Texas Tech, WVU, Oklahoma, TCU, Baylor, Texas
Big East: Villanova, Creighton, Providence, Butler, Seton Hall, Marquette
Big Ten: OSU, Purdue, Michigan State
Pac-12: UCLA, USC, Arizona State
SEC: Tennessee, Florida, Kentucky, Missouri, Texas AM, Arkansas
WCC: St. Mary’s

Last 4 in: Arizona State, Marquette, Texas, Syracuse
First 4 out: Kansas State, Alabama, Louisville, Oklahoma State

Seeds:
1-Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Duke
2-Kansas, Purdue, Michigan State, Cincinnati
3-Texas Tech, Auburn, North Carolina, Wichita State
4-Arizona, Tennessee, Michigan, Gonzaga
5-Florida, West Virginia, Clemson, Ohio State
6- Kentucky, Nevada, TCU, Miami
7-Houston, Rhode Island, Butler, Creighton
8-Virginia Tech, St. Mary’s, Seton Hall, Texas A&M
9-Oklahoma, Florida State, Arkansas Missouri
10-Baylor, NC State, Providence, USC
11-St. Bonaventure, Syracuse/Arizona State, UCLA, Marquette/Texas
12-Buffalo, New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Middle Tennessee
13-Murray State, Louisiana, Charleston, South Dakota St
14- Vermont, UC Santa Barbara, UNC Greensboro, Bucknell
15- Wagner, Montana, Lipscomb, Wright State
16- Radford, Iona, Penn/Nicholls, Arkansas Pine-Bluff/Bethune-Cookman

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