NFL Betting

Ortiz’s Week One NFL Betting Guide

Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

That wasn’t so bad was it? Okay it did feel like this off-season was taking forever. But boys and girls, ladies and gentleman, the 2018-19 NFL season is about to be underway. So now it’s time make some money this NFL season and I’m going to help you get some this week. So without further ado let’s turn sports betting into sports profiting.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Minnesota Vikings

Spread: Vikings -6.5
Yes, the Minnesota Vikings defense is very scary. Ranked second in the league last year in passing yards allowed per game, quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a tough task in front of him. If the game wasn’t on the road then I’d give the 49ers a slight chance. But playing in Minnesota…good luck.
My pick: Vikings -6.5

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
Spread: Patriots -6
Deshaun Watson is still one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the NFL. I know this is only his second season and he had his rookie year cut short by a torn ACL. But he’s the real deal. Which is one of the reasons why I love the Texans at +6 here. The other reason, in the past five seasons the Patriots have lost two of their last five season openers. And in the three games they won, their average margin of victory was 3.6 points.
My pick: Texans +6

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts
Spread: Colts -2.5
Listen I know Andrew Luck is “back” and that the Colts are at home and their facing an inconsistent Bengals team. But this is one of the most disrespectful spreads I’ve seen since last year when the Rams opened up against the Colts.
My pick: Bengals -2.5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
Spread: Cleveland +4.5
I’m a big fan of the changes that the Browns made this off-season. I’m a big fan of Tyrod Taylor and the rest of their bunch. But their still facing a great and proven Pittsburgh Steelers team.
My pick: Steelers -4.5

Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens
Spread: Ravens -7.5
This is going to be really bad, like really really really bad. We all remember the last time Nathan Peterman started a game right? Yeah, people don’t forget (Superbad reference). The Ravens will win this one easily.
My pick: Ravens -7.5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Giants
Spread: Giants +3
This matchup has a lot of ifs in it. Because we have no idea how Eli Manning is going to look or how their defense is going to look either. As for the Jaguars, how will Blake Bortles play? I’m taking the team with the best player and that’s Odell Beckham Jr.
My pick: Giants +3

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins
Spread: Miami +1
Okay I take back what I said earlier. This is by far the most disrespectful line since the Rams game last year where they opened up against the Colts. The biggest strength of this Miami team this year is running the football. As for the Titans, their biggest strength is stopping the run. Oh and the Titans have a new offensive coordinator in Matt LaFleur, who happens to give his quarterbacks career seasons when he arrives.
My pick: Titans -1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
Spread: Saints -9.5
This is a fair spread. Because like Vegas, I think the Saints the beat the brakes off of the Buccaneers who despite not having Jameis Winston just don’t stand a chance.
My pick: Saints -9.5

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Spread: Chargers -3.5
I like both of these teams A LOT this season. And I do believe the Chargers will win that division, but they won’t win this game. Without Hunter Henry and Joey Bosa, I can’t give the nod to the Chargers in week one. Yes, I know it’s Patrick Mahomes’ first official start as the main guy but I’m still leaning with the Chiefs on the road.
My pick: Chiefs +3.5

Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers
Spread: Panthers -3
I love the addition of Norv Turner at the offensive coordinator position for the Carolina Panthers this season. And I truly believe that it’s going to boost this Carolina offense tremendously. The issue at hand for them will be the durability of Cam Newton. Though in this game I like the team that’s being called the underdog in the Dallas Cowboys.
My Pick: Cowboys +3

Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos
Spread: Broncos -3
When the Denver Broncos signed Case Keenum, they signed him believing that he’d be even better than the Case Keenum of last season. And I believe that as well. As for this game, you add Keenum plus the better defense, I’m going with the Broncos.
My pick: Broncos -3

Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals
Spread: Cardinals -1.5
Another two teams with a ton of question marks. The Redskins with their new look offense and the Cardinals with their questionable offensive line and aging quarterback Same Bradford at the helm. I’m taking the home team.
My pick: Cardinals -1.5

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
Spread: Packers -7
I love what Chicago is doing and building. Adding Khalil Mack and Allen Robinson earlier in the off-season. But the Green Bay Packers still have that baaaaad man in Aaron Rodgers. Plus the Packers are at home.
My pick: Packers -7

New York Jets vs. Detroit Lions
Spread: Lions -6.5
Ah rookie Same Darnold getting the nod. I love the decision and I truly believe that the Jets found a starting quarterback that they can build with. Like I said build with. The Jets are going to be good, trust me and I believe that they can do that this season. However on opening night and on the road, I’m going with the Lions.
My pick: Lions -6.5

Los Angeles Rams vs. Oakland Raiders
Spread: Raiders +4
Another trap bet that has the number 4 in it. Yes, I love the addition of Jon Gruden, but I hate the departure of Khalil Mack. The Raiders really don’t have a defense now without Mack. As for the Rams their offense got a lot better with the addition of Brandin Cooks.
My pick: Rams -4

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